Dienstag, 19.12.2023 / 19:49 Uhr

Bericht: Hizbollah jederzeit zum Angriff auf Israel berei

Von
Thomas von der Osten-Sacken

Milizen der Hizbollah beim Training, Bildquelle: Wikimedia Commons

Laut einer Untersuchung des Alma Research and Education Centers ist die Hizbollah bestens auf einen Angriff auf Nordisrael vorbereitet.

 

Der Bericht kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass vermutlich sogar Eliteeinheiten der Hizbollah für den Herbst 2023 eine Besetzung nordisraelischer Dörfer und Siedlungen geplant hatte, ihr dann aber die Hamas zuvorgekommen ist. Das, so Alma, heiße aber nicht, dass die libanesische Partei Gottes nicht jederzeit angreifen könnte:

"The Radwan unit is fully trained and capable of launching an incursion into the Galilee at any given moment," researchers said. "Even if the majority of Hezbollah's elite forces have distanced themselves from the border, there is no change to Hezbollah's overall readiness." (...)

"In reality, on October 7, Hamas essentially 'borrowed' the infiltration plan of the Radwan unit and implemented it through its forces along the southern border with the Gaza Strip," the researchers noted in the position paper. They pointed out that Hamas embarked on this path independently of Hezbollah for reasons not yet clear. The brutal massacres and abductions they carried out essentially delayed the timing of the infiltration plan from the north. This is because Hezbollah is not keen on getting entangled with the Palestinians and becoming the "second fiddle" in a war not initiated by them. (...)

Given the widespread mobilization of IDF reserve forces deployed along the borders of Lebanon and Syria for the past eight weeks and the operational and intelligence vigilance of the military, "Alma" acknowledges that, for now, Hezbollah's element of surprise is compromised in its operational plan. However, the position paper emphasizes that "even today, at any given moment, if they choose to do so, Hezbollah can autonomously execute its infiltration plan into Israeli territory with a more limited force of the Radwan unit and a more focused area."